Photo by Vera Aurima on Unsplash

Vietnam’s decision to scrap its decades-old Two-Child Policy might not have made global front pages, but for millions of families, it quietly marks the end of a long and deeply personal chapter. For over 35 years, the government encouraged, nudged, and at times pressured couples to stop at two children. Not through extreme enforcement, but through a steady, unrelenting culture of suggestion. If you had a third child, you might lose a promotion. If you were a government worker or a party member, you could be denied bonuses. It wasn’t law in the way people understand laws, but it was law in the way people lived: enforced by eyes in the neighborhood and whispers in the workplace. It created an invisible fence around family life, one that many didn’t dare to cross.

Now that fence is down. In June 2025, Vietnam’s National Assembly quietly removed the two-child rule from its Population Ordinance. Couples can now have as many children as they wish, with no formal pressure to stop. On paper, it seems like a simple administrative move. But what it represents is much bigger—a shift not only in policy, but in how Vietnam sees its people: not as numbers to manage, but as human beings capable of deciding for themselves. It’s a moment that deserves reflection, celebration, and some necessary skepticism.

The original idea behind the Two-Child Policy was not evil. Vietnam had its reasons. The country was poor, recovering from war, and struggling to rebuild. In the 1960s and '70s, the population was growing faster than the economy could handle. Leaders feared that if something wasn’t done, hunger and poverty would follow. And to their credit, the policy worked in the short term. Fertility rates fell from over six children per woman to just below two in a few decades. Women got more access to education, maternal health improved, and urban planning became more manageable. It looked like a victory.

But every policy, especially one that touches the private spaces of life like childbirth and parenting, has consequences. Vietnam’s success in lowering its birth rate eventually turned into a new kind of crisis. The population began to age rapidly. Cities like Ho Chi Minh City now report fertility rates lower than Tokyo. There are too few babies being born to replace the aging workforce. And when the number of working adults shrinks while the elderly population grows, the economy begins to slow, healthcare systems strain, and society tilts off balance. In short, the country began to fear the very problem it once tried to solve, just in reverse.

The policy that once seemed necessary started to feel outdated. And not just economically. Socially, too. Generations of Vietnamese citizens have grown up under this quiet rule. They’ve been told by posters, clinics, teachers, and their parents that two is the ideal. Anything more is irresponsible. That message sticks. Even now, after the rule has been lifted, many couples say they’ll still stop at two—not because they have to, but because they’ve internalized the message. Changing a law is one thing. Changing a belief system is much harder.

This is where the debate becomes more complex. The government has technically given people freedom. But is it freedom if the surrounding system still makes having children feel like a burden? The truth is, most people aren’t limiting their family size because of government rules anymore. They’re doing it because raising children today feels like a steep mountain to climb. Schooling is expensive, housing is cramped, daycare is rare, and workplace policies are unfriendly to mothers. Fathers are often still expected to be the main earners, and mothers the primary caregivers. The result is that women carry the weight of child-rearing, often while juggling careers in an economy that isn’t built to accommodate family life. Scrapping the policy doesn’t erase any of this. It’s like unlocking a door but leaving all the furniture piled in front of it.

Many countries have been down this road. South Korea, Japan, and even China have all tried to reverse course after decades of strict family planning. They’ve handed out baby bonuses, housing discounts, and extra leave. But none have truly succeeded in bringing birth rates back up. Why? Because they missed the bigger point. You can’t just tell people “have more babies” and expect them to smile and comply. You have to create a world where people feel safe and supported in doing so. That means good jobs with fair hours. It means free or affordable childcare. It means not having to choose between being a mother and being a professional. It means men participating equally at home. Without these deeper changes, any policy shift feels cosmetic.

Vietnam is at a crossroads. On one hand, it’s made a bold, symbolic move by removing the policy. On the other hand, it hasn’t yet made the kind of systemic changes needed to back it up. Some local governments have tried. Ho Chi Minh City gives cash incentives to families with a second child. Some provinces offer additional maternity leave. But these are small gestures in the face of much bigger problems. What’s needed is a national conversation about what family means, what support looks like, and how the country values parenting, especially motherhood.

There’s also a question of trust. For decades, the state has told people what the “right” number of children is. Now it’s telling them to go ahead and have more. It’s natural for people to be suspicious. They wonder: Is this permanent? Will the state help us raise these kids? Or are we on our own the moment they’re born? Real change requires trust. And trust requires consistency, patience, and action, not just empty encouragement.

Public reactions so far have been mixed. Some parents, especially those who always wanted a bigger family, welcome the change with quiet joy. They no longer feel like they’re doing something wrong. Some grandparents say they now feel less ashamed of that “extra” grandchild they once had to hide. But many younger couples remain hesitant. They don’t feel confident that they can provide a good life to more than one or two children. And in today’s competitive world, that fear is justified. The dream isn’t just to have children. It’s to raise them well, educate them, love them, and still have space for your dreams. Without strong support systems, that feels impossible.

What this moment needs, more than anything, is honesty. The policy is gone, but its shadow still lingers. The real work now is not convincing people to have more children. It’s creating a society where people want to. A society where parenting is a respected role, not an invisible sacrifice. A society where having a child doesn’t mean losing your job, your income, or your identity. Vietnam has made the first move. Now it must follow through. Not with slogans, but with schools. Not with posters, but with policies.

The end of the Two-Child Policy is not just a demographic strategy—it’s a test. It’s a chance for Vietnam to show what kind of country it wants to be in the next 30 years. Does it want to be a nation that truly values family, not just in words but in action? Does it want to be a place where women can raise children without giving up their future? Where can men be caregivers without shame? Where children grow up in safe, supported communities, not in cities that treat them as numbers?

This moment matters because it marks the end of a controlling era and the start of something more hopeful. But hope isn’t enough. If Vietnam wants more babies, it needs to become a place where families flourish, not just survive. That takes courage, investment, and listening to the people, not treating them like statistics, but like citizens with real, complex lives. Ending the policy is just the beginning. What comes next will decide whether this change is remembered as a milestone or just a memo.

Let’s hope Vietnam chooses well.

.    .    .

Discus