Photo by Rupinder Singh on Unsplash

In a world where the rhythms of international diplomacy usually move to a predictable beat, the global stage was suddenly set ablaze by an astonishing clash of titans that has left the entire planet agog. 

This seismic event, an epic collision of international proportions, has erupted onto the world stage with a blaze of unprecedented ferocity, taking its place as the defining moment in the annals of contemporary geopolitics. With a symphony of diplomatic maneuvers, intrigue, and the ever-present undertone of geopolitical tension, it has thrust our world into a collective state of both apprehension and fascination.

In this article, we embark on a journey to explore the genesis of this remarkable clash between the giants of India and Canada, dissecting its roots, pondering its consequences, and gazing into the far-reaching implications that have not only captivated nations but ignited a fervent and resounding global dialogue.

Over the past two weeks, the world has indeed been inundated with discussions surrounding terms like "Khalistan," "Hardeep Nijjar," "Sikhism," and references to nations clashing. This surge in attention is primarily due to a complex and multifaceted series of events that have unfolded, drawing global interest and concern.

BACKGROUND

The Khalistan Movement:

A Historic crossroad:

The Khalistan movement is a complex and contentious separatist movement that seeks to establish an independent Sikh homeland called Khalistan in the Indian state of Punjab and other parts of Northern India. This movement has a profound and turbulent history, marked by a range of factors, including religious tensions, political grievances, and violent clashes. The term "Khalistan" originates from Punjabi words: "Khalis" (pure) and "Stan" (land or place), signifying "the land of the pure." It represents the vision of an independent Sikh state in the Punjab region, governed by Sikh traditions and values.

The Colonial Roots and Early Discontent:

The origins of the Khalistan movement can be traced back to the late 1800s and early 1900s, a period when British colonial policies aimed to create divisions between Sikhs and Hindus. Sikhs were recruited in significant numbers into the British Indian Army to suppress Hindu rebellions against British rule. This historical backdrop laid the foundation for religious tensions and grievances among Sikhs.

Post-Independence Grievances:

Following India's independence in 1947, tensions between the state of Punjab and the central Indian government began to surface. These tensions were exacerbated by various factors, including linguistic divisions, water-sharing disputes, and perceptions of unfair treatment. The trifurcation of Punjab into the states of Punjab, Haryana, and Himachal Pradesh in 1966 along linguistic lines deepened these grievances. The sharing of the joint capital of Chandigarh with Haryana and water-sharing agreements added to the resentment felt by many Sikhs.

Exploitation of Grievances by Radical Leaders:

The Khalistan movement traces its beginnings to Sikh leaders in the 1940s who began advocating for greater autonomy in the Punjab region. They felt that Sikhs were denied the opportunity for an independent nation when India was partitioned in 1947. The movement gained momentum in the 1970s when Jagjit Singh Chauhan, based in London, initiated a campaign for Khalistan. Chauhan's efforts included international outreach, such as placing an ad in The New York Times to declare the formation of Khalistan. The formal launch of the Khalistan movement occurred on April 12, 1980, with the establishment of the Council of Khalistan at Anandpur Sahib.The confluence of unprincipled politics and manipulation of religious identities propelled radical Sikh forces into political prominence in Punjab.

Escalation of Violence:

The Khalistan movement's violent phase began in 1978 with clashes between radical Sikh groups led by Jarnail Singh Bhindranwale and the Nirankari sect. The violence escalated further in 1980 when Bhindranwale and his supporters began targeting Hindus and other perceived opponents. This was followed by large-scale violence against civilians across Punjab, marking the beginning of a prolonged period of bloodshed.

Peak of the Khalistan Movement (1980s-90s):

Canada became the Heaven

The 1980s and 1990s witnessed the height of the Khalistan movement, characterized by bombings, assassinations, kidnappings, and massacres of civilians. The 1980s saw the emergence of various Khalistani groups in Canada. These groups, often characterized as militant, actively promoted the Khalistan cause and sought to gain support for their separatist agenda. They used Canada as a base for their activities and fundraising efforts. 

It resulted in a staggering death toll of nearly 22,000, including approximately 12,000 civilians. The movement took an international turn in 1985 when Khalistani separatists in Canada orchestrated the bombing of Air India Flight 182, which remains Canada's deadliest terrorist attack.  This terrorist attack resulted in the deaths of all 329 people on board, making it one of the deadliest acts of aviation terrorism at the time. 

Sikh militants were responsible for this tragedy, and it had a profound impact on perceptions of the Khalistan movement in Canada.In response to the growing influence of Khalistani groups and the Air India bombing, the Canadian government took steps to crack down on these groups. Legal actions were taken against some individuals associated with Khalistani extremism.

Why Canada Supports Khalistan?

Canada has a significant Sikh population, with Sikhs making up 2.1% of the country's population. Sikh MPs and officials serve at various government levels, making them a crucial political constituency. The growth of the Sikh population has led to their increasing political influence in Canada.

Why it is continuing over the years?

On the contrast, not all Canadian Sikhs support Khalistan, and it's not a major concern for most. Support for Khalistan among the diaspora is driven by a lack of connection with Punjab's ground realities. Memories of the 1980s when the Indian government took a hard stance against Khalistani separatists, including extrajudicial arrests and killings, keep the movement alive among some. Even in the diaspora, support has been waning over the years as new generations have less personal memory of India. Geopolitics plays a role, with countries like China and Pakistan supporting the Khalistan movement to create problems for their enemies in India.

Leaders of the Khalistan Movement

The Khalistan movement has had various leaders over the years. Jagjit Singh Chauhan was one of the prominent figures. Jarnail Singh Bhindranwale, a Sikh preacher and militant leader, and Balbir Singh Sandhu, a member of the Khalistan Commando Force (KCF), were other influential leaders.

Goal of the Khalistan Movement

The primary goal of the Khalistan movement is to create an independent Sikh state in the Punjab region. Advocates argue that Sikhs possess a distinct identity and culture, and that they should have the right to govern themselves in accordance with their traditions. The movement has also criticized the Indian government for alleged discrimination against Sikhs and has called for greater autonomy for Punjab.

Why Do Punjabis Want Khalistan?

The desire for Khalistan among Punjabis reflects a long history of conflict and marginalization. Many Sikhs believe that an independent state would grant them greater political autonomy and the ability to govern in accordance with their cultural and religious practices. However, it's essential to note that not all Punjabis support the Khalistan movement, and opinions on this issue vary.

Human Rights Abuses and Criminal Activity:

Khalistan militants were responsible for numerous human rights abuses, including the indiscriminate use of bombs, assassinations of political leaders, and coercion of businessmen and landowners. Over time, some Sikh militants became involved in criminal activities, including robbery, extortion, rape, and ever-escalating terrorist attacks on civilians. By 1991, they were largely viewed as unprincipled criminal gangs.

Government Response and Political Complications:

In response to the violence, Indian security forces and Punjab police took forceful measures, at times committing human rights abuses themselves. The central government's interference in state politics and elections also contributed to the state's problems. It is noteworthy that a significant portion of Punjab's police, security forces, and politicians were Sikhs, highlighting the complexities of the situation.

Violence Against Hindu and Sikh Civilians:

The majority of the victims of militant violence were innocent Sikhs who opposed the Khalistan movement. Hindus were also targeted to ignite communal tensions and induce them to flee Punjab. Thousands of Hindus fled, living as refugees in neighboring states and New Delhi. Attacks on Hindu religious festivals, movie theaters, and crowded markets were tragically common.

Anti-Hindu Propaganda:

The violence in Punjab was accompanied by virulent anti-Hindu rhetoric and propaganda designed to intimidate and demonize the Hindu minority. This rhetoric aimed to disrupt the historically strong relations between Sikhs and Hindus, causing division and fear among these communities.

Operation Bluestar and Aftermath:

In 1984, Operation Bluestar was conducted to flush out Bhindranwale and militants from the Golden Temple in Amritsar. The operation had significant civilian casualties and led to the assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi. It also contributed to the anti-Sikh pogrom in Delhi, resulting in over 3,000 Sikh deaths. The wounds from Operation Bluestar and the 1984 pogrom remain unhealed, fueling support for the Khalistan movement.

International Support for Khalistan:

The Khalistan movement received support from pro-Khalistan separatists in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) Agency. This support included funding, training, and arms for Khalistani terrorist organizations. The Sikh diaspora played a crucial role in facilitating these activities.

Allegations against Pakistan in Khalistan Movement:

Pakistan has faced allegations of involvement in the Khalistan movement, primarily in two areas:

  • Providing Safe Haven: Pakistan has been accused of allowing its territory along the Indian border to serve as a safe haven for Sikhs seeking refuge from India, often facilitated by the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).
  • Indoctrination, Training, and Arming: More significantly, Pakistan has faced allegations of providing training, indoctrination, and arms to Sikh individuals who then re-entered Indian territory to engage in combat operations against Indian security forces.

Pakistan denies these allegations, emphasizing that it does not support separatist movements within India. Nevertheless, these accusations have contributed to the complex historical and political context of the Khalistan movement, influencing perceptions both within India and internationally.

The Enigma of Khalistan

The enigma of the Khalistan movement remains a compelling narrative, laden with complexity and controversy. It elicits a diverse spectrum of perspectives and refuses to yield to simplistic solutions. It is incumbent upon us to navigate this intricate terrain with a discerning eye, to shun sweeping generalizations about Sikhs, and to comprehend the multifaceted nature of the Khalistan movement. While the overwhelming majority of Sikhs disavow separatism and distance themselves from Khalistan, the movement itself serves as a crucible for a diverse array of political ideologies and beliefs. Addressing this intricate matter necessitates a profound understanding of its historical roots and contributing factors. Any pursuit of effective strategies must be undertaken with utmost sensitivity, and a deep appreciation of the kaleidoscopic nature of the Khalistan movement's past and present.

Timeline of the Khalistan Movement (The Gist key events):

1947

India gains independence, and
Punjab is partitioned between
India and Pakistan.
1966
Punjab is further divided, creating Punjab, Haryana, and Himachal
Pradesh.
1973
Shiromani Akali Dal passes the
Anandpur Sahib Resolution, calling for greater autonomy for Punjab and recognition of Sikh identity.
1980
 The formal launch of the
Khalistan movement.
1984
Assassination of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, leading to anti-Sikh
riots and Operation Blue Star to
flush out Sikh militants from the
Golden Temple.

1985-1986

Height of the Khalistan movement with violent clashes.

1995

Decline in support for the
Khalistan movement.
2000-2010
Occasional incidents of violence,
protests, and demands for cultural recognition and autonomy.
2015
Protests and concerns among Sikhs regarding the Indian government's plans to build a highway
through the Sikh holy city of
Amritsar.
2019
Abrogation of Article 370, raising
concerns among some Sikhs.

EARLY DIPLOMATIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIA AND CANADA

Diplomatic relations between India and Canada have significantly deteriorated in recent months, with a series of incidents contributing to escalating tensions between the two nations. These incidents reveal a longstanding disagreement over issues like Khalistani support, interference in domestic politics, and hate crimes targeting Indian nationals in Canada.

Hate Crimes Against Indians (2022)

  • February 2022: Deepak Punj, an Indo-Canadian radio host critical of pro-Khalistani elements, was attacked.
  • March 2022: Harmandeep Kaur, a 25-year-old Indian student, was attacked and killed after studying in Canada.
  • April 2022: Kartik Vasudev, a 21-year-old Indian student, was shot dead in Toronto.
  • July 2022: A statue of Mahatma Gandhi at a Vishnu temple was desecrated in Richmond Hill.
  • India's Advisory (September 2022): In response to these incidents, India issued an advisory in September 2022, urging Indian nationals and students in Canada to exercise caution and remain vigilant.
  • Controversial Parade (2022): A parade held in Brampton, Canada, featured statues and placards targeting former Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi. This event added to the tensions and accusations of interference in domestic politics.
  • Hindu Temple Vandalism (2022): In the past year, Hindu temples in Canada were defaced and vandalized. India raised concerns and accused Khalistani groups of being responsible for these acts, further intensifying the rift.

HARDEEP SINGH NIJJAR

(BACKGROUND)

The Victim's Profile

  • Nijjar hailed from Bhar Singh Pura in the Phillaur subdivision of Jalandhar district, India.
  • He migrated to Canada in 1997, following the end of militancy in Punjab, where he worked as a plumber.
  • Over time, he became the president of the Guru Nanak Sikh Gurdwara in Surrey, Canada.
  • His direct association with militant organizations in Punjab remained unclear, but his prominence in the Canadian Sikh community grew.
  • Nijjar was associated with Khalistani activism, which advocates for the creation of an independent Sikh state called Khalistan. This movement has its roots in the demand for Sikh autonomy in the Indian state of Punjab.

Indian Government's Allegations:

National Investigation Agency's Designation

  • In September 2020, the National Investigation Agency (NIA) in India designated Hardeep Singh Nijjar as a terrorist under the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, 1967.
  • The NIA listed him as an "absconder" and sought public assistance in locating him, announcing a cash reward of Rs 10 lakh for his apprehension.

Terrorism-Related Charges

  • An FIR registered against Nijjar in Delhi in 2018 accused him of conspiring to carry out a major terrorist attack in India, sourcing finances for arms and ammunition, and training Sikh youth for terrorist activities.
  • The FIR alleged that Nijjar had associates in India who had surveilled gatherings of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) with the intention of targeting them in terror attacks.
  • His name was also connected to the killing of senior RSS leader Brigadier Jagdish Gagneja in 2016.

Reviving Terrorism in Punjab

  • Another FIR from 2016, lodged at Police Station Dakha, Ludhiana Rural, Punjab, was handed over to the NIA in 2018.
  • This FIR accused Nijjar, along with members of the proscribed terrorist organization Babbar Khalsa International (BKI), of promoting disharmony between religious groups and planning to revive terrorism in Punjab.

Canadian Connections:

Dispute with Ripudaman Singh Malik

  • In Canada, Nijjar gained attention due to his connection with the killing of Ripudaman Singh Malik, who had been acquitted in the Air India Bombing of 1985. Malik was also shot dead in Surrey on June 15, 2022.
  • Nijjar and Malik were reportedly at odds over the printing of the Sikh holy book, Sri Guru Granth Sahib, in Surrey.

HARDEEP SINGH NIJJAR DEATH

On June 18, 2023, Hardeep Singh Nijjar, the president of a Sikh temple in Surrey, B.C., known for his advocacy of Sikh separatism, was tragically shot and killed outside the gurdwara. This incident reignited long-standing tensions that had been simmering since the Air India bombing involving Sikh extremists in 1985. 

One the Day of the Assassination - On June 18 Sunday eveing

  • Nijjar had been in good spirits, joking about a Father's Day gift.
  • He left the Guru Nanak Sikh Gurdwara temple in Surrey, British Columbia, after worship with Gurmeet Singh Toor, a temple official.

The Incident

  • Nijjar was heading to his pickup truck in the temple's parking lot on Father's Day.
  • A white vehicle suddenly blocked his path, and witnesses heard a rapid burst of gunfire.
  • Two hooded individuals were seen fleeing from Nijjar's immobilized pickup.

Eyewitness Account - Bhupinder Jit Singh

  • Bhupinder Jit Singh, playing soccer nearby, heard approximately 10 seconds of gunfire.
  • He reached Nijjar's Dodge Ram and found him slumped over with multiple gunshot wounds.
  • Nijjar appeared unconscious and not breathing.

Eyewitness Account - Malkit Singh

  • Malkit Singh observed the two gunmen fleeing and pursued them.
  • He described one as tall and slender and the other as heavyset.
  • They entered the back seat of a silver 2008 Toyota Camry, driven by a waiting accomplice.

Chasing the Escape Vehicle

  • Gurmeet Singh Toor and Bhupinder Jit Singh joined in the pursuit of the gunmen but were unable to locate them. 

Prime Minister's Statements

  • Prime Minister Justin Trudeau referred to the gunmen as "agents" of the Indian government.
  • Gunmen were described as wearing black clothing, hooded attire, and black medical masks.
  • One gunman dropped a blue medical glove.

Implications and Accusations:

Social Media Reactions

  • Some Indian right-wing social media accounts celebrated Nijjar's killing, leading to accusations that Indian agencies may have played a role in the murder.
  • Concerns were raised about the tolerance of such behavior by the Indian government's silence.

Diplomatic Crisis

  • Hardeep Singh Nijjar's death has not only raised questions and concerns in Canada but also sparked a diplomatic crisis between India and Canada.
  • Investigations into his murder and its broader implications continue to unfold, further intensifying the global conversation around Khalistani activism and its consequences.

Last Interview and Ominous Warnings
Days before his killing, Nijjar gave an interview to Surrey-based radio broadcaster and journalist Gurpreet Singh.
In the interview, Nijjar expressed concerns about being on a "hit list" and highlighted a pattern in the killings of Khalistani activists.
He stated that the Sikh community was under attack on foreign shores, suggesting a growing threat to activists.

Addressing the key timeline events happened after Nijjar's death:

  • June 29, 2023: Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar, when questioned about the Khalistan issue, suggests that Canada's approach may be influenced by its "vote bank compulsion" and warns of India's response if these activities threaten national security and integrity.
  • July 4, 2023: Joly's Pledge to Protect Indian Diplomats: Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly pledged to protect Indian diplomats in Canada following posters at Khalistan rallies in Vancouver and Toronto labeling them as "killers." Canada stressed its commitment under the Vienna Convention to ensure diplomats' safety.
  • July 8, 2023: Sikh Protests: Protests occurred at Indian consulates, with the secessionist group Sikhs for Justice promoting these events. The group supports the creation of a separate Sikh homeland, Khalistan.
  • Sept. 1, 2023: Canada Calls for Pause on India Treaty Talks: Canada requested a pause on talks for an Early Progress Trade Agreement with India. Negotiations had been ongoing since March 2022, focusing on specific industries.
  • Sept. 9-10, 2023: G20 Summit in India: Prime Ministers Trudeau and Modi exchanged tense words during the G20 summit. Modi accused Sikhs in Canada of promoting secessionism and inciting violence against Indian diplomats.
  • Sept. 10, 2023: B.C. Sikh Referendum Vote: Organizers of a worldwide unofficial referendum on Punjabi independence staged a vote in Surrey, with more than 135,000 participants in the first stage.
  • Sept. 15, 2023: Trade Mission Postponed: Canada announced the postponement of an October trade mission to India, focusing on clean technology and renewable energy.

THE ISSUE FUELED - CANADA ACQUISITION ON INDIA

What was Canada's stance on the matter?

September 18, 2023:

After three months following Mr. Nijjar's demise, on the 18th of September, which fell on a Monday, the Canadian Prime Minister conveyed to legislators that there were indications linking individuals affiliated with the Indian government to the murder of Mr. Nijjar within Canadian territory. Mr. Trudeau affirmed that this information was derived from an inquiry conducted by the Canadian government. He also mentioned that he had raised the issue directly with Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India during the Group of 20 summit in New Delhi, emphasizing his concerns in clear terms. Mr. Trudeau stressed that any foreign government's involvement in the killing of a Canadian citizen on Canadian soil was an unacceptable violation of Canada's sovereignty. He pledged to pressure India to cooperate with the investigations into Mr. Nijjar's death. Additionally, Canada's Foreign Minister, Mélanie Joly, announced the expulsion of an Indian diplomat, whom she identified as the de facto head of India's intelligence agency in Canada.

How did India respond to these allegations?

September 19, 2023:

The Indian government strongly rejected Mr. Trudeau's allegations. Prime Minister Modi completely denied any involvement, and India's foreign ministry characterized the accusations as absurd. In response to Canada's actions, India expelled a senior Canadian diplomat based in India and suspended visa applications from Canadian nationals. India also accused Canada of sheltering extremists and terrorists who posed a threat to India's sovereignty and territorial integrity. India has long claimed that Canada harbors Sikh terrorists and provides funding for the Khalistan cause. It has accused other countries, including Britain, the United States, and Australia, of being passive regarding separatist movements within their borders. While India contends that Canada has taken a lenient stance toward Sikh extremism, particularly in Punjab, there is little support within Punjab for a secessionist cause. Mr. Trudeau maintained his position, stating that Canada was not seeking to provoke or escalate the situation but simply presenting the facts as understood and expressing a desire to cooperate with the Indian government.

Addressing the Background Events Leading to the Allegations

  • June 2016: Nijjar's Letter to Trudeau: In 2016, Hardeep Singh Nijjar wrote to Prime Minister Trudeau, seeking clearance from federal security agencies to counter Indian media reports that labeled him a terrorism suspect. Indian officials had accused Nijjar of terrorism and designated him a terrorist, leading to his inclusion on Interpol's wanted list.
  • February 2018: Trudeau's Visit to India: During a 2018 visit to India, Prime Minister Trudeau emphasized Canada's support for a united India while condemning violent extremism. However, he refused to suppress individuals advocating peacefully for an independent Sikh state, asserting it as a matter of freedom of speech.
  • July 14, 2022: Ripudaman Singh Malik's Murder: Ripudaman Singh Malik, one of three individuals acquitted in the 1985 Air India terrorist bombings, was killed in Surrey, B.C. The Air India Flight 182 bombing killed 329 passengers and prompted a public inquiry that criticized security officials' handling of the threat.
  • July 22, 2022: Reward for Nijjar's Arrest: India's counter-terrorism National Investigative Agency offered a cash reward for information leading to Hardeep Singh Nijjar's arrest, accusing him of involvement in an attack on a Hindu priest in India. Nijjar and his lawyer claimed prior knowledge of an assassination plot against him by the Canadian Security Intelligence Service in 2022.
  • September 15, 2022: The Indian High Commission in Ottawa releases a statement condemning the defacement of the BAPS Swaminarayan Mandir in Toronto with anti-India graffiti. They request that Canadian authorities investigate the incident and take action against the perpetrators
  • September 20, 2022: The Indian Foreign Ministry issues an advisory alerting Indian nationals and students in Canada to a significant increase in hate crimes, sectarian violence, and anti-India activities. The Ministry of External Affairs and Indian diplomatic missions in Canada have raised these incidents with Canadian authorities, emphasizing the need for investigations and appropriate actions.
  • March 23, 2023: In response to a question from Indian-Canadian lawmaker Iqwinder Gaheer, Canada's Foreign Minister Melanie Joly acknowledges the evolving situation in Punjab, referring to the extensive manhunt for Sikh separatist Amritpal Singh. She expresses the Canadian government's concern and hopes for a return to stability.
  • March 25, 2023: India summons Canada's high commissioner to express strong concern about separatist and extremist elements targeting Indian diplomatic missions and consulates in Canada.
  • June 5, 2023: Jody Thomas, Canada's national security adviser, identifies India as one of the primary sources of "foreign interference" in the country, indicating growing concerns.
  • June 8, 2023: India's Foreign Minister S Jaishankar criticizes Canada for permitting a parade float in Brampton that depicts the 1984 assassination of former Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi. In response, Canada's High Commissioner to India Cameron MacKay condemns the event, emphasizing that there is no place for hate or violence in Canada.
  • June 10, 2023: An Indian English daily, Hindustan Times, reports that the Canadian authorities do not consider the float a hate crime, prompting discussions about the incident's classification.

Escalating India-Canada Relations

Allegations:

Three months after the shooting, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made startling allegations, asserting that Indian government agents were responsible for Mr. Nijjar's murder. Trudeau cited credible intelligence provided by Canadian national-security authorities to support his claims. In response, the Government of India vehemently denied any involvement and dismissed Mr. Trudeau's allegations as "unsubstantiated."

Aftermath:

Following these allegations and the subsequent diplomatic dispute:

  • Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister, Mélanie Joly, expelled the head of Canadian operations of India's foreign intelligence agency.
  • India responded swiftly by expelling an as-yet unidentified "senior Canadian diplomat."
  • India issued a travel warning to its citizens regarding trips to Canada and temporarily suspended all visa services for Canadians.
  • Canada, citing safety concerns, reduced its diplomatic staff in India.

Reaction from Canada's Sikh Community:

The World Sikh Organization of Canada, a non-profit organization advocating for the interests of Canadian Sikhs, reported that it had alerted the Canadian government to India's alleged targeting of Sikhs within Canada.

The Bigger Picture

The killing of Hardeep Singh Nijjar has significantly strained Canada-India relations, leading to the following consequences:

  • Canada suspended trade talks with India.
  • Ottawa announced the postponement of an early October Canadian trade mission to India.
  • This incident has shed light on the Khalistan movement, its complex history, and the challenges it poses to relations between Canada and India.

Unfolding Events in India-Canada Relations - 21 Sep 2023

Here is the timeline of the events in ascending order:

21 Sep 2023 

08:11 GMT: India warns against Canada travel during row over Sikh separatist leader’s killing.

08:11 GMT: Ottawa rejects India’s warning that travel to Canada unsafe.

08:12 GMT: US says India should cooperate in probe of Sikh leader’s killing in Canada.

08:13 GMT: Indian fugitive of Sikh origin killed in ‘gang violence’ in Canada’s Winnipeg.

08:13 GMT: India stops processing visas for Canadian citizens.

08:23 GMT: Indian company abruptly removes notice about visa service suspension for Canadians.

08:34 GMT: Canadian embassy in India to adjust staff presence after ‘threat’ to diplomats.

09:02 GMT: Trudeau accused of ‘playing politics’ over Sikh leader’s killing.

10:46 GMT:  Sikh community in Canada reacts to brewing diplomatic row between Ottawa and New Delhi.

11:02 GMT: Canada gets muted support from allies after alleging India may have been involved in killing of Nijjar.

11:29 GMT: Trudeau raised issue of Sikh separatist murder with Modi: India.

11:43 GMT: India seeking extradition of more than 20 people from Canada: Foreign Ministry.

12:04 GMT:  New Delhi seeks ‘reduction’ in Canadian diplomats in India.

12:33 GMT:  Canadians in third countries will also face temporary visa restrictions: India.

12:57 GMT:  India accuses Canadian diplomats of interference in New Delhi’s affairs.

13:33 GMT:  Company says visas suspended ’till further notice’.

14:11 GMT:  Canada says diplomats in India received ‘threats’ on social media.

15:54 GMT: Trudeau urges India to work with Canada to probe allegations.

15:57 GMT: Canada seeks to ‘defend the rights of its citizens’: Trudeau.

15:59 GMT: Nijjar killing ‘of foundational importance’ for Canada: Trudeau.

16:03 GMT: Decision to share allegations ‘not done lightly’, Canada PM says.

16:07 GMT: Trudeau sidesteps question about possible Canadian visa service suspension.

16:07 GMT: Trudeau says Canada has ‘rigorous’ justice system to handle allegations.

6:19 GMT: Trudeau says Canada defending ‘rules-based order’.

16:34 GMT: ‘We’re not looking to provoke’ India: Trudeau.

17:14 GMT: Canada must treat foreign policy ‘with much more seriousness’: Professor.

17:59 GMT: US supports Canadian investigation: White House official.

18:03 GMT: US says no ‘wedge’ with Canada over India row.

19:00 GMT: Muslim Canadians outraged and concerned, says advocate Stephen Brown.

19:14 GMT: Nijjar killing unlikely to go to international court: international law professor Marko Milanovic.

19:30 GMT: ‘The world is watching’: Derek Grossman, a US-based defence analyst.

19:51 GMT: Canadian media asking for evidence.

Economic Ramifications and Uncertainties

The impact of the India-Canada tensions and the allegations made by the Canadian Prime Minister regarding the killing of Mr. Nijjar on the Canadian economy can be complex and multifaceted. Economic consequences can depend on several factors, including the duration and severity of the tensions, the actions taken by both countries, and the global economic context. Here are some potential economic implications may happen if this issue persists for a long time:

  • Trade Disruptions: If the diplomatic row escalates and leads to trade restrictions or sanctions between India and Canada, it could disrupt bilateral trade. This disruption may affect industries that rely on exports and imports between the two countries.
  • Investment: Ongoing tensions might lead to reduced foreign direct investment (FDI) between India and Canada. Businesses may become hesitant to invest in each other's countries due to the uncertain political and economic environment.
  • Tourism: If diplomatic tensions affect people-to-people relations and perceptions of safety, it could impact tourism. Fewer tourists from one country visiting the other could have economic repercussions for the tourism industry.
  • Energy and Resources: Canada is a significant exporter of energy resources, including oil and natural gas. Any disruption in trade relations with India could impact Canada's energy exports, which may affect the Canadian energy sector.
  • Global Perception: The international community is closely watching these tensions. If they perceive either country negatively, it could have implications for their global image, which could indirectly affect economic relations with other nations.
  • Commodity Prices: Changes in trade dynamics or supply chain disruptions could influence commodity prices. This may affect industries and businesses that rely on specific commodities.
  • Currency Exchange Rates: Currency exchange rates can be influenced by geopolitical events. A significant impact on the Canadian dollar or the Indian rupee can have implications for trade and investment.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies with supply chains spanning both countries may face challenges if there are disruptions or delays in the movement of goods and services.

The Way To Go...

Here are some potential steps that both nations could consider to address these issues:

  • Independent Investigation: A thorough and impartial investigation into the assassination of Hardeep Singh Nijjar is paramount. Both countries should consider collaborating or allowing an independent international body to conduct the investigation to ensure transparency and credibility. The findings should be made public to dispel any doubts about the circumstances surrounding Nijjar's death.
  • Diplomatic Engagement: High-level diplomatic engagement is essential to address the root causes of tension. Both countries should engage in open and constructive dialogue to discuss their concerns, share intelligence, and work together to prevent further incidents or violence. This dialogue should encompass a range of issues, including counterterrorism, security cooperation, and the welfare of their respective diaspora communities.
  • Supporting Peaceful Advocacy: Canada should continue to emphasize its commitment to freedom of speech and peaceful advocacy while also maintaining its stance against violence and extremism. It can encourage Sikh organizations to engage in peaceful dialogue rather than resorting to violence or supporting separatist movements.
  • Diaspora Engagement: Both India and Canada should actively engage with their Sikh diaspora communities. This includes addressing their concerns, fostering a sense of belonging, and encouraging their participation in civic and political processes while respecting the rule of law.
  • Counter Radicalization: Both countries should cooperate in countering radicalization within their borders. This involves sharing intelligence, implementing programs to counter extremist narratives, and supporting community-based initiatives aimed at preventing radicalization.
  • Trade and Economic Relations: While political tensions persist, it's essential to keep economic and trade relations separate from political disputes. Both nations should work to maintain and strengthen economic ties, as trade can be a stabilizing factor in their relationship.
  • Global Cooperation: Given the global nature of terrorism and extremism, India and Canada should collaborate with the international community on counterterrorism efforts, intelligence sharing, and efforts to combat transnational threats. This cooperation can help address shared security concerns.
  • Cultural and Educational Exchanges: Promote cultural exchanges, educational programs, and people-to-people contacts to foster better understanding and promote tolerance among communities in both countries.
  • Conflict Resolution Initiatives: Encourage and support initiatives for conflict resolution in regions of concern, such as Punjab, where historical grievances persist. International mediation efforts can help facilitate peaceful resolutions.
  • Long-Term Perspective: Recognize that resolving deep-seated issues and building trust may take time. Both countries should approach this process with a long-term perspective, focusing on incremental progress and sustained dialogue.

CONCLUSION

The assassination of Hardeep Singh Nijjar serves as a poignant reminder of the intricate and multifaceted nature of India-Canada relations. It is a story that intertwines historical grievances, religious identities, and complex political dynamics, with the Khalistan movement at its core. This event represents a pivotal moment in the bilateral relationship, one marked by conflicting narratives and deep-seated suspicions.

As investigations into Nijjar's assassination unfold, the future of India-Canada relations remains uncertain. The world watches with keen interest, recognizing that the resolution of this saga carries significant implications. It is a test of these nations' ability to address contentious issues while upholding principles of justice, sovereignty, and diplomatic decorum. The hope is for a resolution that transcends acrimony and fosters a climate of cooperation and mutual respect.

In the broader context of our interconnected world and shifting geopolitical dynamics, the India-Canada relationship mirrors the challenges faced by nations dealing with complex historical legacies, diaspora influences, and contemporary political realities. Hence, will undoubtedly leave a lasting mark on their future interactions and resonate far beyond their borders. It underscores the importance of diplomacy, dialogue, and international scrutiny in navigating such intricate relationships on the global stage.

Lesson to remember:

In the grand symphony of existence, we, as mere mortals, arrive on this earthly stage through the wondrous marvel of biology. Our time here, a fleeting moment in the eternal cosmic dance, is a gift bestowed upon us. In the tapestry of life, we are the threads, woven together by the hands of fate.
Yet, in this intricate and fragile web of existence, we must remember our fundamental truth: We bear no divine mandate to extinguish the sacred flame of another's life. Instead, we are called to coexist, to thrive among our fellow travelers on this cosmic voyage.
Imagine, if you will, the beauty of a life fully lived—a life where we choose to celebrate our shared humanity, where the tapestry of existence is adorned with threads of compassion, kindness, and love. In our fleeting span of 50 to 60 years, we are but stewards of this delicate balance.
For those who dare to initiate violence, remember this: the symphony you seek to silence may be your own. You, too, will be denied the sweet nectar of life's pleasures, and your legacy will be etched in sorrow.

So let us, instead, be the architects of a harmonious world—a world where we dance to the rhythm of empathy, where we sing the song of compassion, and where we paint the canvas of existence with strokes of understanding. In this endeavor, we ensure that our shared journey is one of joy, unity, and the celebration of life's boundless beauty.

Life's masterpiece: Embrace love, not inflict harm! 
A tiny spark ignites the world's memory!
Craft a legacy of light, not shadows!

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References:

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  • https://www.aljazeera.com/
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  • https://fairbd.net/
  • https://www.bbc.com/news
  • https://www.thehindu.com/
  • https://thewire.in/
  • https://foreignpolicy.com/
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